Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.262026 0.287580 0.313647 0.342175 0.372468 0.403624 0.438039
2024-12-15 0.236979 0.273744 0.312535 0.356343 0.404266 0.454934 0.512382
2024-12-22 0.213224 0.257820 0.306294 0.362529 0.425602 0.493807 0.572776
2024-12-29 0.197220 0.248416 0.305544 0.373374 0.451074 0.536682 0.637509
2025-01-05 0.179977 0.235820 0.299710 0.377233 0.467770 0.569221 0.690534
2025-01-12 0.164319 0.223622 0.293103 0.379130 0.481395 0.597744 0.738767
2025-01-19 0.149362 0.210993 0.284889 0.378167 0.490912 0.621009 0.780661
2025-01-26 0.138400 0.202391 0.280765 0.381430 0.504919 0.649191 0.828153
2025-02-02 0.131663 0.198567 0.282055 0.390924 0.526180 0.685871 0.885757
2025-02-09 0.122092 0.190328 0.277189 0.392264 0.537119 0.709995 0.928381
2025-02-16 0.115564 0.185643 0.276460 0.398475 0.553842 0.741003 0.979310
2025-02-23 0.111195 0.183551 0.278836 0.408456 0.575182 0.777663 1.037245
2025-03-02 0.103099 0.175984 0.273865 0.409026 0.584981 0.800730 1.079546
2025-03-09 0.096365 0.169902 0.270525 0.411451 0.596976 0.826487 1.125277
2025-03-16 0.088920 0.162278 0.264662 0.410176 0.603962 0.845870 1.163152
2025-03-23 0.084794 0.159301 0.265014 0.417081 0.621503 0.878556 1.217718
2025-03-30 0.079199 0.153705 0.261367 0.418301 0.631422 0.901531 1.260203
2025-04-06 0.073761 0.147979 0.257220 0.418571 0.639902 0.922584 1.300296
2025-04-13 0.068078 0.141462 0.251589 0.416482 0.645010 0.939178 1.334716
2025-04-20 0.064168 0.137563 0.249595 0.419336 0.656671 0.964220 1.379963
2025-04-27 0.062321 0.136973 0.252469 0.429088 0.677742 1.001625 1.441247
2025-05-04 0.058449 0.132673 0.249506 0.430284 0.687004 1.023560 1.482723
2025-05-11 0.056101 0.130856 0.250238 0.436767 0.703539 1.055119 1.536777